Weekly Note Preview: The Long-Term Secular Cycle At Work; A Critical Point For The Decennial Cycle; A New Position Capitalizing On Both A Pristine Long-Term Price Pattern & Sector Momentum
In this weekend's 498th edition of Turning Points we have a 12 page note discussing the long-term secular cycle at work, the confluence of various factors coming together during at a critical point for the decennial cycle, as well as a new position that seeks to capitalize on both a long-term price pattern and sector momentum. What follows is a brief preview from this weekend's note: The exploration of secular bull market cycles, their tendency to accelerate during various stages of maturation and the decennial cycle creating the greatest gains during the latter half of the decade is essential to understanding exactly where speculative assets are going over the next several years. While we have certain guideposts that offer up correlations from secular bull markets of the past, what we do not possess is an understanding of how financial markets that are reliant on the constant push of liquidity in order to ensure stability of the economic system will evolve during what is sure to be an increasing order of velocity in the price movement of key assets. The rapid pace of technological growth is pushing investors to consider profound changes in the economic system, such as the influence of crypto on the debt market and AI's effect on labor, ultimately amplifying the velocity of price changes. As I outlined in last weekend's edition of Turning Points, all of this just so happens to be coinciding with the sweet spot of the decennial cycle, setting up the markets for a prolonged period of impressive returns. In going over potential correlations to historically high velocity periods of returns in the past, whether the Nasdaq from 1995-2000 or the Nikkei from 1985-1990, there is tendency for markets to take on new trajectories as the pace of speculation increases. Put as simply as possible, past a certain point, markets become comfortable taking on increasingly steep rates of ascent that redefine both past and future trajectory points. The chart below is the SPX zoomed out multiple decades, with all past trajectory points displayed. To view the entirety of this weekend's note, you can subscribe by clicking here. Zenolytics Turning Points is 490+ editions in and only getting better. Find out why institutions and individual investors have come to depend on our service through each and every type of market environment. Click here for details. Disclaimer This website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a complete description of our investment advisory services. No information contained on this website constitutes investment advice. This website should not be considered a solicitation, offer or recommendation for the purchase or sale of any securities or other financial products and services discussed herein. Viewers of this website will not be considered clients of T11 Capital Management LLC just by virtue of access to this website. T11 Capital Management LLC only conducts business in jurisdictions where licensed, registered, or where an applicable registration exemption or exclusion exists. Information contained herein is not intended for persons in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to the laws or regulations of that jurisdiction, or which would subject T11 Capital Management LLC to any unintended registration requirements. Visitors to this site should not construe any discussion or information contained herein as personalized advice from T11 Capital Management LLC. Visitors should discuss the personal applicability of the specific products, services, strategies, or issues posted herein with a professional advisor of his or her choosing. Information throughout this site, whether stock quotes, charts, articles, or any other statement or statements regarding capital markets or other financial information, is obtained from sources which we, and our suppliers believe reliable,...
Read more