It has been a little over a year since Zenolytics last put out a public note. That note titled, It's Time For Investors To Go All-In On Growth Stocks, was published in March of 2021 right near the lows for the year on the Nasdaq around 13,000.
As we all know by now, the Nasdaq would keep moving up from that March low, right up to the November high that so many investors wish they could have back to resurrect their portfolios to some semblance of its previous glory.
Unfortunately, Jay Gatsby is not a potent role model for investors, as no matter how much you can hope to repeat the past, one can only learn from it, apply those lessons and move on.
While there has been a public absence, in private, the Zenolytics Turning Points weekly note is getting close to its 300th edition, which is actually quite shocking to me. The membership base at Zenolytics consists of both institutional and retail investors who gain value out of a vast majority of the analysis I send out on a weekly basis.
I say a "vast majority" because the markets have become infinitely more difficult on a micro basis. Just like everybody else, Zenolytics will have its great calls, good calls, bad calls and downright terrible calls.
It's really easy in the current environment to get a lot wrong. And even more poignant is the fact that the market will let you know how wrong you are extremely quickly when conditions are bearish. You can literally lose everything overnight, as we recently learned with our crypto position in Terra Luna. A position, by the way, that at one point showed a 10x plus gain.
That story is far from over, however. The nuances are endless. The opportunities for the reemergence of the chain are real after the bearish sentiment becomes a little less amplified, you can say.
In the meantime, the markets are slated to get much more difficult than most are expecting.
Over the intermediate to long-term, there will come a buying opportunity, at some point in the distant future, that will be historic in scope.
However, prior to that opportunity becoming apparent to most, there will more than likely be devastation on a scale not seen since the 2000-2002 bear market market in growth.
The point here is not that you must, as investors, participate in the downside that is to come in order to capture the inevitable bottom of this market tirade.
The point is that you, as investors, better be damn sure that you have some capital in reserves prepared to capture the historic bottom that will come once this bloodbath has claimed its final victim.
At this point, there is no way of knowing if that bottom will be next week, next month or next year.
But when it does come, we will release the hounds to do what they do and capitalize as best as we can.
Stay nimble.
Our time will come.
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