Everyone gets it.
Simultaneously, miraculously and lacking any grace whatsoever, the investment community has embraced the bullish thesis in all its forms.
Recession? Never was going to happen.
Inverted yield curve? For the birds.
U.S. and China? Bromance for life.
All of these realizations have come to pass because of one thing and one thing only: PRICE.
The market has gone up to new highs, narratives are being built around that price movement, reflexivity is creating reality.
And this is exactly what a majority do not truly understand. There are perhaps 26 people on Earth that get this.
The markets will keep building a narrative around price movement, further reinforcing new fundamental positives that 6-12 months down the road are headline news.
This reflexive relationship will only stop when one of two things happen:
- Data points that are overwhelmingly negative appear seemingly out of the blue, creating gaps that interrupt the reflexive cycle.
- The consensus bullish sentiment becomes so substantial that it tips the markets into a negative price cycle, creating a reflexive cycle on the downside that creates a whole new set of negative narratives that further create a new set of negative fundamental realities.
Neither of these two events are imminent or worthy of further discussion. They should simply be compartmentalized in your mental Rolodex for sake of future reference.
While there will be bumps in the road as outlined most recently just a few days ago, we are now at a point in time in this bull market where all things that could be right for equities are simultaneously working together to reinforce the uptrend within the next leg of a secular bull market that will very simply create spinning heads on Wall Street that the kid from The Exorcist would be jealous of.
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