Rounds numbers have an odd appeal among investors. Every major round number that is broken on the upside or downside is highlighted in flashing headlines and talked about among media pundits who attempt to create a meaning where there usually is none.
The next major round number that is due for some attention among market enthusiasts is the 3,000 level on the S&P. Since Zenolytics believes a break above the 3,000 level will happen in the next couple of trading days, it's time to sit down and discuss the ramifications of such a move.
While moving over 3,000 on the S&P will be celebrated by most every bullish observer, the reality of this level is it throws the market into a twisting, torrential downpour of significant historical resistance. This is the 2910 level on Barry Bonds era steroids with cocaine mixed in for good measure. This isn't just a simple round number exercise. In the case of S&P 3,000 it has significant technical meaning that has nothing to do with the round number.
What does that mean? It means that once we get over this level, barring some type of surprise rate cut that allows the market to pierce the resistance like a Russian rocket, equities are going to have a lot of work to do.
One of the consistent themes Zenolytics has been jumping on the conference room table about for the past few months is the choppy nature of summer trading that is to come. The S&P 3,000 level will only accentuate the choppiness with headline risk that will continue to astound in its propensity for the audacious.
While this may be a case of looking ahead too far being that as of this moment there is nothing to be but bullish with the buying window that opened this week and the resulting blue skies until 3,000, it bears a warning in advance given the significance of the resistance at hand.
In what shouldn't be a surprise to any observer of this site, the ultimate goal of this note is to remind you to prepare to zig while others are zagging. The happy dance coming at the 3,000 level will embody this concept entirely.
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